Two signals show the AI race reshaping global alliances and the price of capital.
🏛️ Washington Draws a Line Around Its AI Coalition
Decoded: The U.S. State Department has drafted a letter to 35 countries warning that members of its AI coalition cannot also join Beijing's competing framework, according to Reuters. About two dozen countries are in the U.S.-led Pax Silica initiative, which coordinates AI models, semiconductors and critical-mineral supply chains. Reuters said the undated draft could still change.
Why it matters: Access to projects, chips and critical minerals is becoming tied to geopolitical alignment. Suppliers and AI developers may face higher compliance costs as the U.S. and China build separate technology ecosystems.
📊 AI Borrowing Pushes Up the Cost of Capital
Decoded: Alphabet, Amazon and Meta have issued almost $220 billion of bonds in 2026, already more than double their combined $108 billion for all of 2025, LSEG data cited by Reuters showed. U.S. 30-year real yields are near 18-year highs around 3%, while Thursday's 30-year Treasury auction cleared at 5.22%, the highest borrowing cost since 2001. BlackRock said the AI build-out is intensifying competition for capital.
Why it matters: Higher real yields increase financing costs and reduce the present value of future earnings. The AI spending cycle is now affecting both technology balance sheets and the valuation rate applied across equities.
Stay decoded. See you tomorrow.
— The Get AI Decoded Team
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